Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Being Weird

No idea whats going on right now....I've just had no desire to really site down and grind out like I usually do. After the disappointing finish last week, I played a 1/2 session sunday night and got raped. I lasted about 3 hours and played around 10-12 tournaments probably. Either sucked out on or just making terrible calls for a lot of chips. I dunno whats up with me right now but hopefully I get out of the funk. The bankroll is dropping and I'm not playing as much as I did. The 1v1 Competition is underway and I have a first round bye currently. Basically how the bye works is I still get points for my tournament finishes and then if someone registers late for it and ends up playing me I will have a bit of a lead on them. So most likely it'll just roll over to the next round. Hopefully this gives me some motiviation to start playing more and playing a shit load better.


In other news I had a fun ass weekend except for the part where I broke my fucking toe...its pretty bad, really black and blue, swelled up, barely can walk. It hurts constantly but whatever.....night glow n the dark frisbee can be dangerous I guess.

Thats all I got, gl at the tables.

Thursday, June 10, 2010

slightly +ev to -ev to jack shit (poker and life post)

I finally got to play my regular weekeday schedule last night and was cruising pretty good. I was in the money of the $11r on stars and got in a huge fucking pot QQ vs AK....all in pre, 100k pot which would have been damn near around 80-90bb stack...QTx flop...x turn...J river gg me. i wasnt upset or pissed off, i played short stack throughout the 'after rebuy' period and picked some great spots to chip up...this one just didnt go my way so what can ya do. woulda been sick $12k for 1st. pretty much everything else i ran like shit. got down to the last one, $26 $32k gtd on ftp..8.3k for first. here i am sitting chip leader with 2 tables left...about 3-4 decent guys left and the rest just some guys that havent been deep and/or havent played much. So i was just destroyign the final table bubble when this hand came up.

we are 5 handed with 10 people left...i just made a horrific call with A4o against the tightest player in the world, but still had a nice amount of chips...might have been 3-4 outta 10.

this guy is a thinking player, pretty solid stats and for some reason i felt if it was folded to him he was going to push and i was going to call.

FullTiltPoker Game #21503075929: $32,000 Guarantee (165579556), Table 120 - 10,000/20,000 Ante 2,500 - No Limit Hold'em - 0:10:35 ET - 2010/06/10

Seat 2: padreschargers (452,212)
Seat 4: kirillbynja1987 (422,964)
Seat 6: FoRsAkEn03 (541,825)
Seat 7: BARBUS84 (460,557)
Seat 8: CashleyCole (440,600)
padreschargers antes 2,500
kirillbynja1987 antes 2,500
FoRsAkEn03 antes 2,500
BARBUS84 antes 2,500
CashleyCole antes 2,500
kirillbynja1987 posts the small blind of 10,000
FoRsAkEn03 posts the big blind of 20,000
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to FoRsAkEn03 [4s 4h]
BARBUS84 folds
CashleyCole folds
padreschargers folds
kirillbynja1987 raises to 420,464, and is all in
FoRsAkEn03 calls 400,464
kirillbynja1987 shows [Ac 5s]
FoRsAkEn03 shows [4s 4h]
*** FLOP *** [Th 9s 8s]
*** TURN *** [Th 9s 8s] [8c]
*** RIVER *** [Th 9s 8s 8c] [9d]
kirillbynja1987 shows two pair, Nines and Eights
FoRsAkEn03 shows two pair, Nines and Eights
kirillbynja1987 wins the pot (853,428) with two pair, Nines and Eights
*** SUMMARY ***
Duration 23s
Total pot 853,428 | Rake 0
Board: [Th 9s 8s 8c 9d]
Seat 2: padreschargers (button) folded before the Flop
Seat 4: kirillbynja1987 (small blind) showed [Ac 5s] and won (853,428) with two pair, Nines and Eights
Seat 6: FoRsAkEn03 (big blind) showed [4s 4h] and lost with two pair, Nines and Eights
Seat 7: BARBUS84 folded before the Flop
Seat 8: CashleyCole folded before the Flop

Now I figured since he knew what he was doing he would be pushing here with a pretty wide range...he had about 21bbs to start the hand...yes its a huge fucking hit to my stack which is another reason to maybe fold...also the fact that everyone to my left is so nitty and tight that i can profitably steal blinds atleast 3 outta 4 times against them ,gaining a lot of chips with minimal risk. on to the math

the pot is laying me about 46.9% ehhhhh not very good but ok..lets look at how we do against his ranges.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 48.109% 47.57% 00.53% 2008845264 22580808.00 { 44 }
Hand 1: 51.891% 51.36% 00.53% 2168534784 22580808.00 { 22+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, A5o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }

This is just over 30% push hands, which i think is super fucking tight for this player...but as you see we are about 48% ...so slightly on the + side

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.401% 49.88% 00.52% 2752003572 28639218.00 { 44 }
Hand 1: 49.599% 49.08% 00.52% 2707761480 28639218.00 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A2o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T9o }

This is slightly over 40% which might be still on the looooose side of things but with the FT bubble in full fucking effect its possible since I'm folding out here more often than not..so he can push maybe even wider.

but regaurdless against his range we are slightttttly ahead. Now i snap called this dude and didnt even think twice about.....heres where i failed...knowing that everyone at the table but him is pretty shitty i think we have a better shot at folding and abusing the people who are scared to get their chips in before the final table....there was about $200 difference between 10th and 9th place...for me i could give a shit less...i want the 8.3k and nothing else. in hind sight i think we can fold, but at the same time i dont mind pushing small edges...win a flip here and we are over 1 mill with 9 to go and really no one in our way.

next orbit comes around and this hand comes up.....

FullTiltPoker Game #21503103490: $32,000 Guarantee (165579556), Table 120 - 10,000/20,000 Ante 2,500 - No Limit Hold'em - 0:12:09 ET - 2010/06/10

Seat 2: padreschargers (452,212)
Seat 4: kirillbynja1987 (865,928)
Seat 6: FoRsAkEn03 (317,722)
Seat 7: BARBUS84 (418,057)
Seat 8: CashleyCole (264,239)
padreschargers antes 2,500
kirillbynja1987 antes 2,500
FoRsAkEn03 antes 2,500
BARBUS84 antes 2,500
CashleyCole antes 2,500
kirillbynja1987 posts the small blind of 10,000
FoRsAkEn03 posts the big blind of 20,000
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to FoRsAkEn03 [Js Qc]
BARBUS84 folds
CashleyCole folds
padreschargers folds
kirillbynja1987 raises to 863,428, and is all in
FoRsAkEn03 calls 295,222, and is all in
kirillbynja1987 shows [4s 6s]
FoRsAkEn03 shows [Js Qc]
Uncalled bet of 548,206 returned to kirillbynja1987
*** FLOP *** [4h 6h Th]
*** TURN *** [4h 6h Th] [3d]
*** RIVER *** [4h 6h Th 3d] [7c]
kirillbynja1987 shows two pair, Sixes and Fours
FoRsAkEn03 shows Queen Jack high
kirillbynja1987 wins the pot (642,944) with two pair, Sixes and Fours
*** SUMMARY ***
Duration 19s
Total pot 642,944 | Rake 0
Board: [4h 6h Th 3d 7c]
Seat 2: padreschargers (button) folded before the Flop
Seat 4: kirillbynja1987 (small blind) showed [4s 6s] and won (642,944) with two pair, Sixes and Fours
Seat 6: FoRsAkEn03 (big blind) showed [Js Qc] and lost with Queen Jack high
Seat 7: BARBUS84 folded before the Flop
Seat 8: CashleyCole folded before the Flop


now this time i felt the same.....if it was folded i know...KNOWWWW he's going to be pusshing so fucking light.

math...

its still kinda ugly but we are getting about 47.3% on the pot...so its really a coin flip no matter what

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.009% 48.41% 01.60% 6057540552 200350758.00 { QJo }
Hand 1: 49.991% 48.39% 01.60% 6055275564 200350758.00 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o }

this is slightly over 50% of push hands so again we are getting a bit more points here...

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.280% 52.71% 01.57% 9152006028 272519136.00 { QJo }
Hand 1: 45.720% 44.15% 01.57% 7665718260 272519136.00 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T3s+, 93s+, 83s+, 73s+, 63s+, 53s+, 43s, A2o+, K2o+, Q2o+, J2o+, T6o+, 97o+, 87o }

here its about 75% of the hands.....so 54.2% and the pot laying 47.3%...all day?????? of course.

maybe....

ive had this hand up on pokerxfactor and parttime poker forums and discussed with a few fellow sicko players....hand 1=insta fold...hand2= alittle closer but i think the consensous was a fold.

lesson learned....you really need to weigh ALL options you have and not look at spots with just 1 hand. so i fold out and have almost 600k and abuse some more and sitting around 750-800k at the final table with minimum resistance...or maybe get a decent hand and bust a shortie. or maybe get sucked out on....whatever it is i think waiting in some spots will create even better spots to get chips.....yes i put a lot of chips on the line with 44 call there...was it a soul read? i dunno...did i get lucky he only had a5o? i dunno...if the bored didnt brick out i'd be in great fucking shape and wouldnt be posting about me getting raped on the ft bubble and being 8.3k richer. but thats not the case...i already reviewed the whole tournament and believe it or not , there were only about 3 or so hands (the a4o i didnt post) that i really effed up on....just sucks because they were reallllly deep and not the time i want to be fucking up. i mean my philosphy was if we are ahead why not call? if we are flipping why not call? wait for JJ and push into AQ or something and lose a flip? isnt it the same thing? push those slight edges because they will be profitable in the long run? does the ft bubble factor in? why not be top 3 in chips rather than bottom 3 in chips? i dunno, maybe i fold there and find better spots and ship the tournament anyways. i like/dislike my 2 calls here but we learned from it and had some great players input that needs to be listened to.

this is already a long post so ill keep the life part of it short......a slightly +ev situation has been brewing for quiet sometime and one that i thought went from a coin flip to AK vs QJ 60/40 kinda deal..which then i thought went to AA/22 80/20...shitttttt. what i thought was aces into pocket 2's turned into...whats the capital of thailand?...bangkok...kicked in the nuts....i just shipped my AK into AA...gg me. so a few months of what i thought was good (obv bad read) and im back to where i started...the zero sum game....it sucks but thats life. im sure the 3 people that read this have no fucking idea what im talking about but whatever...so anyways with that behind me i'm going to now put my full concentration (its been about 80%) into playing. i already missed a few good opportunities fucking around with this shit that i should have known better but whatever. my goal is to get to 7k+ and chop 50/50 with buck and then go on my own roll and start cashing out a few hundo/thousand/million per month and maybe just fucking maybe 1 fucking time i can ship something worth quitting this dumb ass, mind knumbing, going nowhere job im in. i figure full tilt alone owes me about $40k ...so thats a start.


***cliff notes***

-pass up marignal spots to gain better spots later
-sometimes things arent what they seem
-full tilt owes me $40k for the ass beating they put on me this year

Friday, June 4, 2010

ship it?

Well Sunday was a success. I ended up playing 50 on sunday and had some nice stacks but nothing at all was holding. It looked like the month of May was gonna blow ass but I got down to my last 2 for the night. $3 rebuy and $11 1rebuy 1addon , both on stars. I was pretty deep in both and ended up busting AK to KJ all in pre....pretty loose call from the guy with KJ but he binked a J on the flop and it was lights out for me. Took 92nd for 60ish....6.5k for first. Nothing you can do there....so I get to the final table of the 11 cubed 3/9 and ended up running sick hot....I cracked AA twice all in pre first time was KJ(revenge) second time was KT...ended up getting heads up with the guy and he asked for a chop but i politley declinded because i wanted to play to win this bitch. I ended up shipping it for $5.3k , biggest cash to date! Felt so good to finally run good when i needed it , even if i was behind. Sunday success.




Thats about it for now, just going to be mixing in some $55 , $75 and $109s into the regular schedule and also maybe a sunday major here and there.